✓Tender information last checkedLast checked 8 Oct 2026, 08:11.
Opportunity overview
There is increasing pressure on land use in the UK due to demands from housing development and commitments to Net Zero and nature. This, combined with a changing climate, mean there may be less land available for agricultural commodity production within the UK. This may result in a displacement of production overseas.
While there is good evidence on the carbon, biodiversity and other environmental impacts that any given land use change will bring in situ, there is currently no established method of identifying 1) where crops are likely to be grown instead and 2) what impacts this displaced crop growth may have. A way to estimate these could provide evidence that would help guide land use decisions and policy by providing a holistic understanding of both the domestic and international implications of these decisions.
Project Aims
1. To produce an initial interim model that estimates where production would be displaced if a given area of land in the UK, producing a set quantity of a commodity, was no longer used for commodity production. The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions.
2. To estimate the environmental impacts of production in these new locations. The calculated environmental impacts will ideally map onto those included in the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.
ITT C26-1076-2323_V2.
Bidders should refer to ITT C26-1076-2323_V2 and Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V4 when preparing their submissions.
If interested in this project, potential bidders are invited to download the ITT zip folder attached to this advert.
Bids should be submitted to the following email address: TenderResponse@jncc.gov.uk by the date and time shown within this advert.Open source ↗
Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V1Open source ↗
Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V2,Open source ↗
Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V3.Open source ↗
Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V4, Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version.Open source ↗
Published notice details
Additional information from the published procurement release. Fields appear only when supplied by the source; check the original notice and tender documents before acting.
Documents added to tender notice:
Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V4, Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version.
Id
094827-2026
Lots and requirements
Entry 1
Id
1
Status
active
Has Renewal
Yes
Value
Including VAT
330,000
Amount
275,000
Currency
GBP
Award criteria
Criteria
Criterion 1
Type
quality
Name
Quality of Bid
Numbers
Entry 1
Number
55
Weight
percentageExact
Criterion 2
Type
quality
Name
Details Of Contractor
Numbers
Entry 1
Number
15
Weight
percentageExact
Criterion 3
Type
quality
Name
Social Value
Numbers
Entry 1
Number
10
Weight
percentageExact
Criterion 4
Type
price
Name
Price
Numbers
Entry 1
Number
20
Weight
percentageExact
Selection criteria
Criteria
Criterion 1
Type
economic
Description
As per ITT zip pack attached to this advert
Criterion 2
Type
technical
Description
As per ITT zip pack attached to this advert
Suitability
Sme
Yes
Contract period
Starts
16 Nov 2026, 00:00
Ends
20 Mar 2028, 23:59
Max Extent Date
20 Mar 2029, 23:59
Renewal
Description
Important: The estimated value of the initial Contract term (November 2026-March 2028) is £220,000. The advertised Contract value of £330,000 includes the Authority's option to extend the Contract for up to a further twelve (12) months and commission the potential follow-on work described in Section 6 and section 16 of the Annex A.
There is no guarantee that the option to extend will be exercised or that any follow-on work will be commissioned. Accordingly, bidders are not required to provide detailed project plans or pricing for the optional follow-on work at this stage.
Items and delivery
Item 1
Id
1
Related Lot
1
Additional Classifications
Entry 1
Scheme
CPV
Id
90700000
Description
Environmental services
Published documents
Entry 1
Id
conflictOfInterest
Document Type
conflictOfInterest
Description
Not published
Entry 2
Id
A-22469
Document Type
biddingDocuments
Description
ITT C26-1076-2323_V2.
Bidders should refer to ITT C26-1076-2323_V2 and Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V4 when preparing their submissions.
If interested in this project, potential bidders are invited to download the ITT zip folder attached to this advert.
Bids should be submitted to the following email address: TenderResponse@jncc.gov.uk by the date and time shown within this advert.
Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V4, Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version.
5 published notice versions reviewed by ProcuraAxis.
5 VERSIONS
1
083642-2026Tender notice on Find a Tender ·
2
087336-2026Tender notice on Find a Tender ·
3
089412-2026Tender notice on Find a Tender ·
4
091539-2026Tender notice on Find a Tender ·
5
094827-2026Tender notice on Find a Tender ·
PROCURAAXIS ANALYSIS
ProcuraAxis Analysis
Our approved analysis of the opportunity appears below the official tender information.
ANALYSIS PREVIEW
Opportunity intelligence at a glance
JNCC Support Co seeks research and modelling services to estimate where UK agricultural or commodity production may relocate overseas when UK land leaves production, and to assess the resulting environmental impacts. The work should support land-use and policy decisions, with impacts ideally aligned to the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.
Who this may suit
Suitable for environmental research, agricultural economics, land-use modelling, supply-chain displacement analysis and environmental-impact assessment specialists.
Key points identified
Displacement modelling capabilityProduce an initial interim model estimating where production would be displaced when UK land producing a specified commodity quantity is no longer used for that production.Evidence: Project Aim 1 in the opportunity description.
Transparent assumptionsThe model must be based on clear and transparent assumptions.Evidence: Project Aim 1: "The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions."
Environmental impact assessmentEstimate environmental impacts of production in the new locations.Evidence: Project Aim 2 in the opportunity description.
94% approved-analysis confidence7 supplier criteria identified3 risks or unknowns
ProcuraAxis structures information found in published procurement records, checks the result for consistency and publishes only approved analysis. Confidence describes the completeness and consistency of the available source information; it is not a guarantee of eligibility or contract award.
JNCC Support Co seeks research and modelling services to estimate where UK agricultural or commodity production may relocate overseas when UK land leaves production, and to assess the resulting environmental impacts. The work should support land-use and policy decisions, with impacts ideally aligned to the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.
Who this may suit
Suitable for environmental research, agricultural economics, land-use modelling, supply-chain displacement analysis and environmental-impact assessment specialists.
Key deliverables
An initial interim model estimating likely locations of displaced commodity production
Clear and transparent model assumptions
Estimates of environmental impacts in new production locations
Impact mapping ideally aligned to the GEIC indicator
SUPPLIER REQUIREMENTS
7 criteria identified
Displacement modelling capability
98% confidence
Produce an initial interim model estimating where production would be displaced when UK land producing a specified commodity quantity is no longer used for that production.
View supporting evidence
Project Aim 1 in the opportunity description.
Transparent assumptions
99% confidence
The model must be based on clear and transparent assumptions.
View supporting evidence
Project Aim 1: "The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions."
Environmental impact assessment
98% confidence
Estimate environmental impacts of production in the new locations.
View supporting evidence
Project Aim 2 in the opportunity description.
GEIC alignment
96% confidence
Calculated environmental impacts should ideally map onto those included in the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.
Submit bids by email to TenderResponse@jncc.gov.uk.
View supporting evidence
Bidding-document title states: "Bids should be submitted to the following email address: TenderResponse@jncc.gov.uk".
Tender documents
96% confidence
Use ITT C26-1076-2323_V2 and the Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V4 when preparing the submission.
View supporting evidence
Bidding-document titles instruct bidders to refer to the ITT and the Version 4 clarification log.
Supplier eligibility criteria
98% confidence
Unknown.
View supporting evidence
No eligibility, financial standing, insurance, organisation-size or geographic supplier criteria are stated in the supplied opportunity data.
COMMERCIAL AND DELIVERY
Contract intelligence
Commercial
Contract value
93% confidence
Up to £275,000.
View supporting evidence
Opportunity value_max and Lot 1 value_amount are both GBP 275,000.
Currency
99% confidence
GBP.
View supporting evidence
Opportunity and Lot 1 currency fields.
Pricing and payment terms
98% confidence
Unknown.
View supporting evidence
No pricing schedule, payment terms or contract commercial terms are supplied.
Delivery
Scope of services
98% confidence
Research and modelling of overseas displacement of UK agricultural/commodity production and associated environmental impacts.
View supporting evidence
Opportunity description and project aims.
Contract dates
99% confidence
Unknown.
View supporting evidence
Contract start and end dates are null in the supplied data.
Delivery location
98% confidence
Unknown.
View supporting evidence
The supplied location is identified as buyer location (Peterborough), not a required delivery location.
PROCEDURE
How to respond
Procurement procedure
99% confidence
Open procedure.
View supporting evidence
procurement_method_details: "Open procedure".
Opportunity status
99% confidence
Open.
View supporting evidence
display_status is "open" and source_status is "active".
Submission deadline
99% confidence
13 October 2026, 09:00 BST.
View supporting evidence
submission_deadline: 2026-10-13T09:00:00+01:00; also stated for Lot 1.
Reference
94% confidence
C26-1076-2323.
View supporting evidence
Referenced in the ITT and clarification-log document titles.
RISKS AND UNKNOWNS
Points requiring attention
Document-control risk
98% confidence
The latest clarification log is Version 4; earlier versions are also listed. Bidders should use Version 4.
View supporting evidence
Document title states: "Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version."
Methodology uncertainty
88% confidence
The scope calls for an initial interim model, indicating that methodology, assumptions and treatment of displacement effects will be central to the proposal.
View supporting evidence
Project Aim 1 requires an "initial interim model" based on transparent assumptions.
Contract timetable
99% confidence
Unknown.
View supporting evidence
No contract start, end, milestones or delivery schedule are supplied.
ProcuraAxis analysis supplements, but does not replace, the original notice and tender documents. Always verify eligibility, deadlines and commercial terms with the issuing authority.
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